
Overview
Background
An ecologist by training – I hold a B.Sc. (Hons) in Marine Ecology from the University of North Carolina, Wilmington and a Ph.D. in Ecological Modelling from Griffith University. I am broadly interested in exploring new ways to (1) understand how natural communities are formed and (2) predict how they will change over time. As an Amplify Fellow at UQ, my current research focuses on developing computational tools and adapting techniques from epidemiology and statistical forecasting to study how organisms and ecosystems respond to environmental change. This work is being applied to investigate natural dynamics for a range of natural systems including host-parasite interactions, wildlife populations and veterinary diseases.
I am an active member of the R community and have written and/or maintain several popular R packages. For example, I’m a lead developer on the MRFcov package for multivariate conditional random fields analyses. I also wrote the mvgam R package for fitting dynamic Generalised Additive Models to analyse and forecast multivariate ecological time series, and I regularly provide training seminars and workshops to help researchers learn techniques in ecological data analysis.
I am currently seeking Honours and PhD candidates with interests and/or skills in veterinary epidemiology, spatial / spatiotemporal modeling and quantitative ecology.
Availability
- Dr Nicholas Clark is:
- Available for supervision
- Media expert
Fields of research
Qualifications
- Doctor of Philosophy, Griffith University
Research interests
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Using forecasts to anticipate how ecosystems respond to environmental change
I am leading projects to develop new stastical and machine learning models that aim to advance our ability to predict and forecast ecological change. Expected applications of this work cover many fields where time series are very important, including conservation prioritisation, agriculture, species distribution modeling and biosecurity. Currently seeking both Honours and PhD students who are interested in ecological forecasting.
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Automatic forecasting for non-Gaussian time series
Automatic forecasting algorithms are crucial tools for many modern-day business operations. Yet nearly all of the available algorithms, and their associated software packages, assume that the series can be modelled with Gaussian errors. This makes it hard for end-users to employ these models when they routinely deal with non-Gaussian series, such as counts of sales, compositional data that must sum to 1, or time series that present as proportions. This project will develop extremely efficient and adaptable forecasting algorithms that can work with a huge variety of real-world time series, filling a crucial gap in the available software landscape for industry-level forecasting purposes.
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The macroecology and biogeography of infectious dieases
This work aims to describe large-scale patterns in the distributions of wildlife and their pathogens to identify processes governing ecological community assembly and the spread of pathogens. I'll be very happy to accept Honours or PhD students who are interested in biogeography, wildlife research and infectious disease epidemiology.
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The epidemiology of animal pathogens across the human-wildlife interface
I am interested in using molecular genetics and epidemiology to improve our understanding of how pathogen infection rates and emergence will change as human encroachment alters natural environments. This work mostly focuses on wildlife and domestic animals, but it can also be used to study human diseases. I'll be very happy to accept Honours or PhD students who are interested in this line of work.
Research impacts
My research is geared towards understanding how ecological communities, pathogen infection rates and pathogen emergence will change as climate change and human encroachment continue to alter natural environments. This work has generated translational benefits by helping to provide insights into factors that can be targeted to reduce the spread of pathogens in our animals and how to build better models for understanding wildlife responses to climate change. Some key media coverage of this body of work includes:
Ecological Forecasting with Dynamic Generalized Additive Models
Detecting how ecological communities respond to temperature changes
Understanding parasite spread through wildlife: the crucial role of statistical models
Adapting statistical network models to identify biotic interactions in changing communities
Using evolutionary models to trace the emergence of harmful viruses in pet dogs
Tracing the spread of fleas from pets to wildlife and vice versa
Works
Search Professor Nicholas Clark’s works on UQ eSpace
2017
Journal Article
A new look at the origins of gibbon ape leukemia virus
McKee, J., Clark, N., Shapter, F. and Simmons, G. (2017). A new look at the origins of gibbon ape leukemia virus. Virus Genes, 53 (2), 165-172. doi: 10.1007/s11262-017-1436-0
2016
Journal Article
Co-infections and environmental conditions drive the distributions of blood parasites in wild birds
Clark, Nicholas J., Wells, Konstans, Dimitrov, Dimitar and Clegg, Sonya M. (2016). Co-infections and environmental conditions drive the distributions of blood parasites in wild birds. Journal of Animal Ecology, 85 (6), 1461-1470. doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.12578
2016
Journal Article
Why fly the extra mile? Using stress biomarkers to assess wintering habitat quality in migratory shorebirds
Aharon-Rotman, Yaara, Buchanan, Katherine L., Clark, Nicholas J., Klaassen, Marcel and Buttemer, William A. (2016). Why fly the extra mile? Using stress biomarkers to assess wintering habitat quality in migratory shorebirds. Oecologia, 182 (2), 385-395. doi: 10.1007/s00442-016-3679-1
2016
Journal Article
Molecular and morphological description of Haemoproteus (Parahaemoproteus) bukaka (species nova), a haemosporidian associated with the strictly Australo-Papuan host subfamily Cracticinae
Goulding, W., Adlard, R. D., Clegg, S. M. and Clark, N. J. (2016). Molecular and morphological description of Haemoproteus (Parahaemoproteus) bukaka (species nova), a haemosporidian associated with the strictly Australo-Papuan host subfamily Cracticinae. Parasitology Research, 115 (9), 3387-3400. doi: 10.1007/s00436-016-5099-x
2016
Journal Article
Migration strategy and pathogen risk: non-breeding distribution drives malaria prevalence in migratory waders
Clark, Nicholas J., Clegg, Sonya M. and Klaassen, Marcel (2016). Migration strategy and pathogen risk: non-breeding distribution drives malaria prevalence in migratory waders. Oikos, 125 (9), 1358-1368. doi: 10.1111/oik.03220
2015
Journal Article
Specialist enemies, generalist weapons and the potential spread of exotic pathogens: malaria parasites in a highly invasive bird
Clark, Nicholas J., Olsson-Pons, Sophie, Ishtiaq, Farah and Clegg, Sonya M. (2015). Specialist enemies, generalist weapons and the potential spread of exotic pathogens: malaria parasites in a highly invasive bird. International Journal for Parasitology, 45 (14), 891-899. doi: 10.1016/j.ijpara.2015.08.008
2015
Journal Article
Differences in host species relationships and biogeographic influences produce contrasting patterns of prevalence, community composition and genetic structure in two genera of avian malaria parasites in southern Melanesia
Olsson-Pons, Sophie, Clark, Nicholas J., Ishtiaq, Farah and Clegg, Sonya M. (2015). Differences in host species relationships and biogeographic influences produce contrasting patterns of prevalence, community composition and genetic structure in two genera of avian malaria parasites in southern Melanesia. Journal of Animal Ecology, 84 (4), 985-998. doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.12354
2015
Journal Article
Molecular and morphological characterization of Haemoproteus (Parahaemoproteus) ptilotis, a parasite infecting Australian honeyeaters (Meliphagidae), with remarks on prevalence and potential cryptic speciation
Clark, Nicholas J., Adlard, Robert D. and Clegg, Sonya M. (2015). Molecular and morphological characterization of Haemoproteus (Parahaemoproteus) ptilotis, a parasite infecting Australian honeyeaters (Meliphagidae), with remarks on prevalence and potential cryptic speciation. Parasitology Research, 114 (5), 1921-1928. doi: 10.1007/s00436-015-4380-8
2015
Journal Article
The influence of vagrant hosts and weather patterns on the colonization and persistence of blood parasites in an island bird
Clark, Nicholas J. and Clegg, Sonya M. (2015). The influence of vagrant hosts and weather patterns on the colonization and persistence of blood parasites in an island bird. Journal of Biogeography, 42 (4), 641-651. doi: 10.1111/jbi.12454
2014
Journal Article
First evidence of avian malaria in capricorn silvereyes (zosterops lateralis chlorocephalus) on heron island
Clark, Nicholas J., Adlard, Robert D. and Clegg, Sonya M. (2014). First evidence of avian malaria in capricorn silvereyes (zosterops lateralis chlorocephalus) on heron island. Sunbird, 44 (1), 1-11.
2014
Journal Article
A review of global diversity in avian haemosporidians (Plasmodium and Haemoproteus: Haemosporida): new insights from molecular data
Clark, Nicholas J., Clegg, Sonya M. and Lima, Marcos R. (2014). A review of global diversity in avian haemosporidians (Plasmodium and Haemoproteus: Haemosporida): new insights from molecular data. International Journal for Parasitology, 44 (5), 329-338. doi: 10.1016/j.ijpara.2014.01.004
2012
Journal Article
Ontogenetic shifts in the habitat associations of butterflyfishes (F. Chaetodontidae)
Clark, Nicholas J. and Russ, Garry R. (2012). Ontogenetic shifts in the habitat associations of butterflyfishes (F. Chaetodontidae). Environmental Biology of Fishes, 94 (4), 579-590. doi: 10.1007/s10641-011-9964-2
Funding
Past funding
Supervision
Availability
- Dr Nicholas Clark is:
- Available for supervision
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Supervision history
Current supervision
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Doctor Philosophy
Forecasting ecosystem responses to environmental change
Principal Advisor
Other advisors: Professor Ricardo Soares Magalhaes
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Doctor Philosophy
Evolutionary pathways and molecular characterization of Influenza Viruses at high-risk human-poultry interfaces in Bangladesh
Associate Advisor
Other advisors: Professor Ricardo Soares Magalhaes
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Doctor Philosophy
Dynamic habitat suitability modelling for terrestrial mammals in Australia integrating google earth engine, remote sensing, machine learning and citizen science data
Associate Advisor
Other advisors: Dr April Reside
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Doctor Philosophy
Volatile synchrony: Pulse reproductive events of giant canopy trees, and the fauna they impact.
Associate Advisor
Other advisors: Dr Andrew Letten
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Doctor Philosophy
Spatial epidemiological approaches to support local One Health strategies to achieve rabies infection control and elimination
Associate Advisor
Other advisors: Professor Ricardo Soares Magalhaes
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Doctor Philosophy
Prevalence of ticks and tick-borne diseases and other parasitic diseases in wild and free roaming canids in Queensland, Australia.
Associate Advisor
Other advisors: Dr Justine Gibson, Dr Swaid Abdullah
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Doctor Philosophy
Investigations into the importance of antimicrobial residues in the surveillance of antimicrobial resistance in peri-urban dairy farms of Nepal
Associate Advisor
Other advisors: Dr Deirdre Mikkelsen, Professor Peter Sly, Professor Ricardo Soares Magalhaes
Completed supervision
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2025
Doctor Philosophy
Towards explainable multi-response models for predicting pathogen infection risks
Principal Advisor
Other advisors: Professor Ricardo Soares Magalhaes
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2025
Doctor Philosophy
Epidemiology of feline upper respiratory tract infections in shelter cats at RSPCA Queensland
Principal Advisor
Other advisors: Professor Ricardo Soares Magalhaes
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2023
Doctor Philosophy
Epidemiology of canine-mediated rabies in Nigeria
Principal Advisor
Other advisors: Professor Joanne Meers
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2025
Doctor Philosophy
Epidemiological investigations into avian influenza virus environmental contamination in live bird markets of Dhaka's metropolitan area, Bangladesh
Associate Advisor
Other advisors: Professor Peter Sly, Professor Ricardo Soares Magalhaes
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2020
Doctor Philosophy
Genetic analysis tools to investigate the role of wildlife in disease transmission in modified environments
Associate Advisor
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2020
Doctor Philosophy
Ecological genetics of dugongs (Dugong dugon) in Queensland
Associate Advisor
Other advisors: Dr Justine Gibson, Dr Janet Lanyon
Media
Enquiries
Contact Dr Nicholas Clark directly for media enquiries about:
- Community ecology
- Disease ecology
- Ecological modeling
- Forecasting
- Host-parasite interactions
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