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2025

Journal Article

Projections of actual and potential evapotranspiration from downscaled high-resolution CMIP6 climate simulations in Australia

Zhang, Hong, Chapman, Sarah, Trancoso, Ralph, Eccles, Rohan, Syktus, Jozef and Toombs, Nathan (2025). Projections of actual and potential evapotranspiration from downscaled high-resolution CMIP6 climate simulations in Australia. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 29 (23), 6863-6884. doi: 10.5194/hess-29-6863-2025

Projections of actual and potential evapotranspiration from downscaled high-resolution CMIP6 climate simulations in Australia

2025

Journal Article

Projections of Australian low pressure systems in downscaled CMIP6 models

Pepler, Acacia S., Di Virgilio, Giovanni, Dowdy, Andrew, Goyal, Rishav, Su, Chun-Hsu, Thatcher, Marcus and Syktus, Jozef (2025). Projections of Australian low pressure systems in downscaled CMIP6 models. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 75 (3) ES25025, 1-21. doi: 10.1071/es25025

Projections of Australian low pressure systems in downscaled CMIP6 models

2025

Journal Article

Evaluation and projection of extreme rainfall from a large ensemble of high–resolution regional climate models in Australia

Jayaweera, Lalani, Wasko, Conrad, Nathan, Rory, Syktus, Jozef and Eccles, Rohan (2025). Evaluation and projection of extreme rainfall from a large ensemble of high–resolution regional climate models in Australia. Weather and Climate Extremes, 50 100818, 100818. doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2025.100818

Evaluation and projection of extreme rainfall from a large ensemble of high–resolution regional climate models in Australia

2025

Journal Article

High-resolution downscaled CMIP6 drought projections for Australia

Eccles, Rohan, Trancoso, Ralph, Syktus, Jozef, Chapman, Sarah, Toombs, Nathan, Zhang, Hong, Ma, Shaoxiu and McGloin, Ryan (2025). High-resolution downscaled CMIP6 drought projections for Australia. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 29 (18), 4689-4710. doi: 10.5194/hess-29-4689-2025

High-resolution downscaled CMIP6 drought projections for Australia

2025

Journal Article

Disentangling the uncertainties in regional projections for Australia

Narsey, Sugata, Grose, Michael, Delage, Francois, Tolhurst, Gen, Chung, Christine, Takbash, Alicia, Boschat, Ghyslaine, King, Malcolm, Pepler, Acacia, Thatcher, Marcus, Ng, Benjamin, Truong, Son, Su, Chun-Hsu, Howard, Emma, Stassen, Christian, Black, Mitchell, Jones, David, Matear, Richard, Chapman, Sarah, Syktus, Jozef, Trancoso, Ralph, Di Virgilio, Giovanni, Goyal, Rishav, Kala, Jatin, Round, Vanessa and Evans, Jason P. (2025). Disentangling the uncertainties in regional projections for Australia. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 75 (3) ES25015. doi: 10.1071/es25015

Disentangling the uncertainties in regional projections for Australia

2025

Journal Article

Substantial increases in future precipitation extremes—insights from a large ensemble of downscaled CMIP6 models

Eccles, Rohan, Syktus, Jozef, Trancoso, Ralph, Chapman, Sarah, Wasko, Conrad, Evans, Jason P., Thatcher, Marcus, Di Virgilio, Giovanni and Stassen, Christian (2025). Substantial increases in future precipitation extremes—insights from a large ensemble of downscaled CMIP6 models. npj Natural Hazards, 2 (1) 60. doi: 10.1038/s44304-025-00107-1

Substantial increases in future precipitation extremes—insights from a large ensemble of downscaled CMIP6 models

2025

Journal Article

Evaluating ERA5 downscaled simulations using CCAM: large‐scale circulation processes and teleconnections

Ma, Shaoxiu, Trancoso, Ralph, Syktus, Jozef, Chapman, Sarah and Eccles, Rohan (2025). Evaluating ERA5 downscaled simulations using CCAM: large‐scale circulation processes and teleconnections. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130 (12) e2025JD043566, 1-19. doi: 10.1029/2025jd043566

Evaluating ERA5 downscaled simulations using CCAM: large‐scale circulation processes and teleconnections

2025

Journal Article

Towards benchmarking the dynamically downscaled CMIP6 CORDEX-Australasia ensemble over Australia

Jiang, Xiaoxuan, Howard, Emma, Su, Chun-Hsu, Isphording, Rachael N., Ng, Benjamin, Chapman, Sarah, Ji, Fei, Grose, Michael, Syktus, Jozef, Trancoso, Ralph, Thatcher, Marcus, Narsey, Sugata, Di Virgilio, Giovanni and Kala, Jatin (2025). Towards benchmarking the dynamically downscaled CMIP6 CORDEX-Australasia ensemble over Australia. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 75 (2) ES24050, 1-28. doi: 10.1071/es24050

Towards benchmarking the dynamically downscaled CMIP6 CORDEX-Australasia ensemble over Australia

2025

Journal Article

Impacts on compound drought heatwave events in Australia per global warming level

Chapman, Sarah, Syktus, Jozef I, Trancoso, Ralph, Toombs, Nathan and Eccles, Rohan (2025). Impacts on compound drought heatwave events in Australia per global warming level. Environmental Research Letters, 20 (5) 054070, 1-15. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/adc8bd

Impacts on compound drought heatwave events in Australia per global warming level

2025

Journal Article

From global to regional-scale CMIP6-derived wind wave extremes: a single-GCM HighResMIP and CORDEX downscaling experiment in South-East Australia

Lorenzo, Matteo, Meucci, Alberto, Liu, Jin, Syktus, Jozef, Thatcher, Marcus and Young, Ian (2025). From global to regional-scale CMIP6-derived wind wave extremes: a single-GCM HighResMIP and CORDEX downscaling experiment in South-East Australia. Climate Dynamics, 63 (2) 97, 1-21. doi: 10.1007/s00382-024-07504-8

From global to regional-scale CMIP6-derived wind wave extremes: a single-GCM HighResMIP and CORDEX downscaling experiment in South-East Australia

2024

Journal Article

Projected changes in mean climate and extremes from downscaled high-resolution CMIP6 simulations in Australia

Chapman, Sarah, Syktus, Jozef, Trancoso, Ralph, Toombs, Nathan and Eccles, Rohan (2024). Projected changes in mean climate and extremes from downscaled high-resolution CMIP6 simulations in Australia. Weather and Climate Extremes, 46 100733. doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100733

Projected changes in mean climate and extremes from downscaled high-resolution CMIP6 simulations in Australia

2024

Journal Article

Assessing the impact of bias correction approaches on climate extremes and the climate change signal

Zhang, Hong, Chapman, Sarah, Trancoso, Ralph, Toombs, Nathan and Syktus, Jozef (2024). Assessing the impact of bias correction approaches on climate extremes and the climate change signal. Meteorological Applications, 31 (3) e2204, 1-18. doi: 10.1002/met.2204

Assessing the impact of bias correction approaches on climate extremes and the climate change signal

2024

Journal Article

Significantly wetter or drier future conditions for one to two thirds of the world’s population

Trancoso, Ralph, Syktus, Jozef, Allan, Richard P., Croke, Jacky, Hoegh-Guldberg, Ove and Chadwick, Robin (2024). Significantly wetter or drier future conditions for one to two thirds of the world’s population. Nature Communications, 15 (1) 483, 1-11. doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-44513-3

Significantly wetter or drier future conditions for one to two thirds of the world’s population

2023

Journal Article

Impacts of climate change on nutrient and sediment loads from a subtropical catchment

Eccles, Rohan, Zhang, Hong, Hamilton, David, Trancoso, Ralph and Syktus, Jozef (2023). Impacts of climate change on nutrient and sediment loads from a subtropical catchment. Journal of Environmental Management, 345 118738, 1-13. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118738

Impacts of climate change on nutrient and sediment loads from a subtropical catchment

2023

Journal Article

Evaluation of dynamically downscaled CMIP6‐CCAM models over Australia

Chapman, Sarah, Syktus, Jozef, Trancoso, Ralph, Thatcher, Marcus, Toombs, Nathan, Wong, Kenneth Koon‐Ho and Takbash, Alicia (2023). Evaluation of dynamically downscaled CMIP6‐CCAM models over Australia. Earth's Future, 11 (11) e2023EF003548, 1-20. doi: 10.1029/2023ef003548

Evaluation of dynamically downscaled CMIP6‐CCAM models over Australia

2023

Journal Article

A CMIP6-based multi-model downscaling ensemble to underpin climate change services in Australia

Grose, Michael R., Narsey, Sugata, Trancoso, Ralph, Mackallah, Chloe, Delage, Francois, Dowdy, Andrew, Di Virgilio, Giovanni, Watterson, Ian, Dobrohotoff, Peter, Rashid, Harun A., Rauniyar, Surendra, Henley, Ben, Thatcher, Marcus, Syktus, Jozef, Abramowitz, Gab, Evans, Jason P., Su, Chun-Hsu and Takbash, Alicia (2023). A CMIP6-based multi-model downscaling ensemble to underpin climate change services in Australia. Climate Services, 30 100368, 100368. doi: 10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100368

A CMIP6-based multi-model downscaling ensemble to underpin climate change services in Australia

2022

Journal Article

Converting tropical forests to agriculture increases fire risk by fourfold

Trancoso, Ralph, Syktus, Jozef I., Salazar, Alvaro, Thatcher, Marcus J., Toombs, Nathan, Wong, Kenneth Koon-Ho, Meijaard, Erik, Sheil, Douglas and McAlpine, Clive Alexander (2022). Converting tropical forests to agriculture increases fire risk by fourfold. Environmental Research Letters, 17 (10) 104019, 1-16. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8f5c

Converting tropical forests to agriculture increases fire risk by fourfold

2022

Journal Article

Different hydroclimate modelling approaches can lead to a large range of streamflow projections under climate change: implications for water resources management

Chiew, Francis H. S., Zheng, Hongxing, Potter, Nicholas J., Charles, Stephen P., Thatcher, Marcus, Ji, Fei, Syktus, Jozef, Robertson, David E. and Post, David A. (2022). Different hydroclimate modelling approaches can lead to a large range of streamflow projections under climate change: implications for water resources management. Water, 14 (17) 2730, 1-21. doi: 10.3390/w14172730

Different hydroclimate modelling approaches can lead to a large range of streamflow projections under climate change: implications for water resources management

2021

Journal Article

Queensland's multi-year Wet and Dry periods: Implications for grazing enterprises and pasture resources

McKeon, G., Stone, G., Ahrens, D., Carter, J., Cobon, D., Irvine, S. and Syktus, J. (2021). Queensland's multi-year Wet and Dry periods: Implications for grazing enterprises and pasture resources. Rangeland Journal, 43 (3), 121-142. doi: 10.1071/RJ20089

Queensland's multi-year Wet and Dry periods: Implications for grazing enterprises and pasture resources

2021

Journal Article

Global exposure of population and land-use to meteorological droughts under different Warming Levels and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways: A Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment-based study

Spinoni, Jonathan, Barbosa, Paulo, Bucchignani, Edoardo, Cassano, John, Cavazos, Tereza, Cescatti, Alessandro, Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg, Christensen, Ole Bøssing, Coppola, Erika, Evans, Jason, Forzieri, Giovanni, Geyer, Beate, Giorgi, Filippo, Jacob, Daniela, Katzfey, Jack, Koenigk, Torben, Laprise, René, Lennard, Christopher John, Levent Kurnaz, M., Li, Delei, Llopart, Marta, McCormick, Niall, Naumann, Gustavo, Nikulin, Grigory, Ozturk, Tugba, Panitz, Hans-Jürgen, da Rocha, Rosmeri Porfirio, Solman, Silvina Alicia, Syktus, Jozef ... Dosio, Alessandro (2021). Global exposure of population and land-use to meteorological droughts under different Warming Levels and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways: A Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment-based study. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (15) joc.7302, 6825-6853. doi: 10.1002/joc.7302

Global exposure of population and land-use to meteorological droughts under different Warming Levels and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways: A Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment-based study