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2021 Journal Article The impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 transmission across 130 countries and territoriesLiu, Yang, Morgenstern, Christian, Kelly, James, Lowe, Rachel, Munday, James, Villabona-Arenas, C. Julian, Gibbs, Hamish, Pearson, Carl A. B., Prem, Kiesha, Leclerc, Quentin J., Meakin, Sophie R., Edmunds, W. John, Jarvis, Christopher I., Gimma, Amy, Funk, Sebastian, Quaife, Matthew, Russell, Timothy W., Emory, Jon C., Abbott, Sam, Hellewell, Joel, Tully, Damien C., Houben, Rein M. G. J., O’Reilly, Kathleen, Gore-Langton, Georgia R., Kucharski, Adam J., Auzenbergs, Megan, Quilty, Billy J., Jombart, Thibaut, Rosello, Alicia ... Jit, Mark (2021). The impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 transmission across 130 countries and territories. BMC Medicine, 19 (1) 40, 1. doi: 10.1186/s12916-020-01872-8 |
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2021 Journal Article The impact of local and national restrictions in response to COVID-19 on social contacts in England: a longitudinal natural experimentJarvis, Christopher I., Gimma, Amy, van Zandvoort, Kevin, Wong, Kerry L. M., Abbas, Kaja, Villabona-Arenas, C. Julian, O’Reilly, Kathleen, Quaife, Matthew, Rosello, Alicia, Kucharski, Adam J., Gibbs, Hamish P., Atkins, Katherine E., Barnard, Rosanna C., Bosse, Nikos I., Procter, Simon R., Meakin, Sophie R., Sun, Fiona Yueqian, Abbott, Sam, Munday, James D., Russell, Timothy W., Flasche, Stefan, Sherratt, Katharine, Eggo, Rosalind M., Davies, Nicholas G., Quilty, Billy J., Auzenbergs, Megan, Hellewell, Joel, Jombart, Thibaut, Jafari, Yalda ... Edmunds, W. John (2021). The impact of local and national restrictions in response to COVID-19 on social contacts in England: a longitudinal natural experiment. BMC Medicine, 19 (1) 52, 1. doi: 10.1186/s12916-021-01924-7 |
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2021 Journal Article Implications of the school-household network structure on SARS-CoV-2 transmission under school reopening strategies in EnglandMunday, James D., Sherratt, Katharine, Meakin, Sophie, Endo, Akira, Pearson, Carl A. B., Hellewell, Joel, Abbott, Sam, Bosse, Nikos I., Eggo, Rosalind M., Simons, David, O’Reilly, Kathleen, Russell, Timothy W., Lowe, Rachel, Leclerc, Quentin J., Emery, Jon C., Klepac, Petra, Nightingale, Emily S., Quaife, Matthew, van Zandvoort, Kevin, Knight, Gwenan M., Jombart, Thibaut, Villabona-Arenas, C. Julian, Rees, Eleanor M., Diamond, Charlie, Auzenbergs, Megan, Medley, Graham, Foss, Anna M., Gore-Langton, Georgia R., Deol, Arminder K. ... Funk, Sebastian (2021). Implications of the school-household network structure on SARS-CoV-2 transmission under school reopening strategies in England. Nature Communications , 12 (1) 1942, 1. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-22213-0 |
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2021 Journal Article Importance of patient bed pathways and length of stay differences in predicting COVID-19 hospital bed occupancy in EnglandLeclerc, Quentin J., Fuller, Naomi M., Keogh, Ruth H., Diaz-Ordaz, Karla, Sekula, Richard, Semple, Malcolm G., Baillie, J. Kenneth, Openshaw, Peter J. M., Carson, Gail, Alex, Beatrice, Bach, Benjamin, Barclay, Wendy S., Bogaert, Debby, Chand, Meera, Cooke, Graham S., Docherty, Annemarie B., Dunning, Jake, da Silva Filipe, Ana, Fletcher, Tom, Green, Christopher A., Harrison, Ewen M., Hiscox, Julian A., Ho, Antonia Ying Wai, Horby, Peter W., Ijaz, Samreen, Khoo, Saye, Klenerman, Paul, Law, Andrew, Lim, Wei Shen ... Knight, Gwenan M. (2021). Importance of patient bed pathways and length of stay differences in predicting COVID-19 hospital bed occupancy in England. BMC Health Services Research, 21 (1) 566, 1. doi: 10.1186/s12913-021-06509-x |
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2021 Journal Article A cross-sectional analysis of meteorological factors and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in 409 cities across 26 countriesSera, Francesco, Armstrong, Ben, Abbott, Sam, Meakin, Sophie, O’Reilly, Kathleen, von Borries, Rosa, Schneider, Rochelle, Royé, Dominic, Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, Tobias, Aurelio, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Hu, Wenbiao, Tong, Shilu, Lavigne, Eric, Correa, Patricia Matus, Meng, Xia, Kan, Haidong, Kynčl, Jan, Urban, Aleš, Orru, Hans, Ryti, Niilo R. I., Jaakkola, Jouni J. K., Cauchemez, Simon, Dallavalle, Marco, Schneider, Alexandra, Zeka, Ariana, Honda, Yasushi, Ng, Chris Fook Sheng ... Lowe, Rachel (2021). A cross-sectional analysis of meteorological factors and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in 409 cities across 26 countries. Nature Communications, 12 (1) 5968, 1. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-25914-8 |
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2021 Journal Article Strategies to reduce the risk of SARS-CoV-2 importation from international travellers: modelling estimations for the United Kingdom, July 2020Clifford, Samuel, Quilty, Billy J., Russell, Timothy W., Liu, Yang, Chan, Yung-Wai D., Pearson, Carl A. B., Eggo, Rosalind M., Endo, Akira, CMMID COVID-19 Working Group, Flasche, Stefan and Edmunds, W. John (2021). Strategies to reduce the risk of SARS-CoV-2 importation from international travellers: modelling estimations for the United Kingdom, July 2020. Eurosurveillance, 26 (39) 2001440, 1-10. doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.es.2021.26.39.2001440 |
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2021 Journal Article Implementation strategies for the first licensed dengue vaccine: a meeting reportFongwen, Noah, Delrieu, Isabelle, Ham, Leong Hoe, Gubler, Duane J., Durbin, Anna, Ooi, Eng-Eong, Peeling, Rosanna W., Flasche, Stefan, Hartigan-Go, Kenneth, Clifford, Sam, Martinez, Carlos Torres, de Lamballerie, Xavier, Barnighausen, Till and Wilder-Smith, Annelies (2021). Implementation strategies for the first licensed dengue vaccine: a meeting report. Vaccine, 39 (34), 4759-4765. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.06.083 |
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2021 Journal Article The potential health and economic value of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination alongside physical distancing in the UK: a transmission model-based future scenario analysis and economic evaluationSandmann, Frank G, Davies, Nicholas G, Vassall, Anna, Edmunds, W John, Jit, Mark, Sun, Fiona Yueqian, Villabona-Arenas, C Julian, Nightingale, Emily S, Showering, Alicia, Knight, Gwenan M, Sherratt, Katharine, Liu, Yang, Abbas, Kaja, Funk, Sebastian, Endo, Akira, Hellewell, Joel, Rosello, Alicia, Lowe, Rachel, Quaife, Matthew, Gimma, Amy, Brady, Oliver, Williams, Jack, Procter, Simon R, Eggo, Rosalind M, Chan, Yung-Wai Desmond, Munday, James D, Barnard, Rosanna C, Gore-Langton, Georgia R, Bosse, Nikos I ... Klepac, Petra (2021). The potential health and economic value of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination alongside physical distancing in the UK: a transmission model-based future scenario analysis and economic evaluation. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 21 (7), 962-974. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(21)00079-7 |
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2021 Journal Article Estimation of country-level incidence of early-onset invasive Group B Streptococcus disease in infants using Bayesian methodsGonçalves, Bronner P., Procter, Simon R., Clifford, Sam, Koukounari, Artemis, Paul, Proma, Lewin, Alexandra, Jit, Mark and Lawn, Joy (2021). Estimation of country-level incidence of early-onset invasive Group B Streptococcus disease in infants using Bayesian methods. PLOS Computational Biology, 17 (6) e1009001, e1009001-6. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009001 |
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2021 Journal Article The potential for vaccination-induced herd immunity against the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variantHodgson, David, Flasche, Stefan, Jit, Mark, Kucharski, Adam J., Abbott, Sam, Edmunds, W. John, Davies, Nicholas G., Eggo, Rosalind M., Medley, Graham, Lei, Jiayao, Liu, Yang, Tully, Damien C., McCarthy, Ciara V., Mee, Paul, Endo, Akira, Hellewell, Joel, Funk, Sebastian, Jombart, Thibaut, Jafari, Yalda, Brady, Oliver, Prem, Kiesha, Krauer, Fabienne, Koltai, Mihaly, Waterlow, Naomi R., Russell, Timothy W., Meakin, Sophie R., O'Reilly, Kathleen, Bosse, Nikos I., Waites, William ... Procter, Simon R. (2021). The potential for vaccination-induced herd immunity against the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant. Eurosurveillance, 26 (20), 20. doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.20.2100428 |
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2021 Journal Article Pre-vaccination testing could expand coverage of two-dose COVID vaccinesPearson, Carl A. B., Clifford, Sam, Pulliam, Juliet R. C. and Eggo, Rosalind M. (2021). Pre-vaccination testing could expand coverage of two-dose COVID vaccines. Wellcome Open Research, 6 105, 1-6. doi: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16835.1 |
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2021 Journal Article Quarantine and testing strategies in contact tracing for SARS-CoV-2: a modelling studyQuilty, Billy J., Clifford, Samuel, Hellewell, Joel, Russell, Timothy W., Kucharski, Adam J., Flasche, Stefan and Edmunds, W. John (2021). Quarantine and testing strategies in contact tracing for SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study. Lancet Public Health, 6 (3), E175-E183. doi: 10.1016/s2468-2667(20)30308-x |
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2021 Journal Article Effect of internationally imported cases on internal spread of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling studyRussell, Timothy W., Wu, Joseph T., Clifford, Sam, Edmunds, W. John, Kucharski, Adam J. and Jit, Mark (2021). Effect of internationally imported cases on internal spread of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study. Lancet Public Health, 6 (1), E12-E20. doi: 10.1016/s2468-2667(20)30263-2 |
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2020 Journal Article Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infectionsRussell, Timothy W., Golding, Nick, Hellewell, Joel, Abbott, Sam, Wright, Lawrence, Pearson, Carl A. B., van Zandvoort, Kevin, Jarvis, Christopher I., Gibbs, Hamish, Liu, Yang, Eggo, Rosalind M., Edmunds, W. John, Kucharski, Adam J., Deol, Arminder K., Villabona-Arenas, C. Julian, Jombart, Thibaut, O’Reilly, Kathleen, Munday, James D., Meakin, Sophie R., Lowe, Rachel, Gimma, Amy, Endo, Akira, Nightingale, Emily S., Medley, Graham, Foss, Anna M., Knight, Gwenan M., Prem, Kiesha, Hué, Stéphane, Diamond, Charlie ... Gore-Langton, Georgia R. (2020). Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infections. BMC Medicine, 18 (1) 332, 1. doi: 10.1186/s12916-020-01790-9 |
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2020 Journal Article Changing travel patterns in China during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemicGibbs, Hamish, Liu, Yang, Pearson, Carl A. B., Jarvis, Christopher I., Grundy, Chris, Quilty, Billy J., Diamond, Charlie, Simons, David, Gimma, Amy, Leclerc, Quentin J., Auzenbergs, Megan, Lowe, Rachel, O’Reilly, Kathleen, Quaife, Matthew, Hellewell, Joel, Knight, Gwenan M., Jombart, Thibaut, Klepac, Petra, Procter, Simon R., Deol, Arminder K., Rees, Eleanor M., Flasche, Stefan, Kucharski, Adam J., Abbott, Sam, Sun, Fiona Yueqian, Endo, Akira, Medley, Graham, Munday, James D., Meakin, Sophie R. ... Eggo, Rosalind M. (2020). Changing travel patterns in China during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic. Nature Communications , 11 (1) 5012, 1. doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-18783-0 |
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2020 Journal Article Designing a multi-layered surveillance approach to detecting SARS-CoV-2: a modelling studyLiu, Yang, Gong, Wenfeng, Clifford, Samuel, Sundaram, Maria E., CMMID COVID-19 Working Group, Jit, Mark, Flasche, Stefan and Klepac, Petra (2020). Designing a multi-layered surveillance approach to detecting SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study. Wellcome Open Research, 5 218, 1-18. doi: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16256.1 |
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2020 Journal Article COVID-19 length of hospital stay: a systematic review and data synthesisRees, Eleanor M., Nightingale, Emily S., Jafari, Yalda, Waterlow, Naomi R., Clifford, Samuel, Pearson, Carl A. B., Jombart, Thibaut, Procter, Simon R. and Knight, Gwenan M. (2020). COVID-19 length of hospital stay: a systematic review and data synthesis. BMC Medicine, 18 (1) 270. doi: 10.1186/s12916-020-01726-3 |
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2020 Journal Article The effect of travel restrictions on the geographical spread of COVID-19 between large cities in China: a modelling studyQuilty, Billy J., Diamond, Charlie, Liu, Yang, Gibbs, Hamish, Russell, Timothy W., Jarvis, Christopher I., Prem, Kiesha, Pearson, Carl A. B., Clifford, Samuel, Flasche, Stefan, CMMID COVID-19 working group, Emery, Jon C., Auzenbergs, Megan, Davies, Nicholas, Nightingale, Emily S., van Zandvoort, Kevin, Jombart, Thibaut, Deol, Arminder K., Edmunds, W. John, Hellewell, Joel, Funk, Sebastian, Abbott, Sam, Sun, Fiona, Endo, Akira, Rosello, Alicia, Gimma, Amy, Procter, Simon R., Bosse, Nikos I., O’Reilly, Kathleen ... Jit, Mark (2020). The effect of travel restrictions on the geographical spread of COVID-19 between large cities in China: a modelling study. BMC Medicine, 18 (1) 259, 1-10. doi: 10.1186/s12916-020-01712-9 |
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2020 Journal Article Effectiveness of interventions targeting air travellers for delaying local outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2Clifford, Samuel, Pearson, Carl A. B., Klepac, Petra, Van Zandvoort, Kevin, Quilty, Billy J., CMMID COVID-19 working group, Eggo, Rosalind M. and Flasche, Stefan (2020). Effectiveness of interventions targeting air travellers for delaying local outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2. Journal of Travel Medicine, 27 (5) taaa068, 1-8. doi: 10.1093/jtm/taaa068 |
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2020 Journal Article Quantifying the impact of physical distance measures on the transmission of COVID-19 in the UKJarvis, Christopher I., Van Zandvoort, Kevin, Gimma, Amy, Prem, Kiesha, Auzenbergs, Megan, O'Reilly, Kathleen, Medley, Graham, Emery, Jon C., Houben, Rein M. G. J., Davies, Nicholas, Nightingale, Emily S., Flasche, Stefan, Jombart, Thibaut, Hellewell, Joel, Abbott, Sam, Munday, James D., Bosse, Nikos I., Funk, Sebastian, Sun, Fiona, Endo, Akira, Rosello, Alicia, Procter, Simon R., Kucharski, Adam J., Russell, Timothy W., Knight, Gwen, Gibbs, Hamish, Leclerc, Quentin, Quilty, Billy J., Diamond, Charlie ... Edmunds, W. John (2020). Quantifying the impact of physical distance measures on the transmission of COVID-19 in the UK. BMC Medicine, 18 (1) 124, 1. doi: 10.1186/s12916-020-01597-8 |