Overview
Background
Dr Anton Pak is a health economist and Senior Research Fellow at The University of Queensland. He leads applied research and evaluation to inform healthcare investment, improve service delivery and assess the value of clinical and digital health innovations.
His research spans three connected areas: economic evaluation of healthcare interventions and clinical trials; digital health and clinical decision support; and the evaluation of health services and alternative models of care. He combines economic evaluation, decision modelling and applied econometrics with linked health data and machine learning to examine healthcare costs, outcomes, access and performance.
Anton works with clinicians, health service leaders, government and industry partners to turn practical questions into research and evaluation projects. His leadership experience includes developing partnerships and proposals, supervising research staff, coordinating multidisciplinary teams, and managing project resources and delivery. He works with partners throughout the research process, from defining priorities and designing studies to interpreting findings and communicating recommendations to decision-makers.
Anton also builds capability through postgraduate teaching, professional education and research supervision. He has co-developed courses in UQ’s Clinical Informatics and Digital Health program and has served as HDR Chair for the Centre for the Business and Economics of Health.
He is affiliated with the Centre for the Business and Economics of Health and the Queensland Digital Health Centre. He holds a PhD in Economics from UQ and previously worked as a Research Fellow in Applied Economics and Data Science at James Cook University. He welcomes research partnerships and supervision enquiries in health economics, digital health evaluation and health services research.
Availability
- Dr Anton Pak is:
- Available for supervision
Fields of research
Qualifications
- Doctor of Philosophy, The University of Queensland
Research impacts
Anton’s research helps healthcare organisations assess new technologies, evaluate models of care and make informed decisions about resources and service delivery. He works with partners to produce evidence and recommendations that address their operational and policy priorities.
At Queensland Children’s Hospital, Anton led the evaluation of a general practitioner-led paediatric minor injury and illness clinic. The evaluation examined service use, patient experience and operational performance, providing clinical and executive leaders with findings and recommendations on patient flow, staffing and service delivery.
In partnership with Princess Alexandra Hospital, Anton co-led research to develop and test more accurate emergency department waiting time predictions. The project evaluated predictive models using live hospital data, establishing evidence for their potential use in providing patients with more reliable waiting time information.
His wider work includes developing a framework to assess the value of healthcare provision in regional communities and contributing costing analysis to the World Health Organization’s work on antivenom supply. These projects translate economic evidence into practical tools for comparing options and understanding the resources required to deliver care.
Works
Search Professor Anton Pak’s works on UQ eSpace
2023
Conference Publication
Forecasting emergency department waiting times using deep neural networks
Pak, A. and Trinh, K. (2023). Forecasting emergency department waiting times using deep neural networks. ISPOR Europe 2023, Copenhagen, Denmark, 11-15 November 2023. New York, United States: Elsevier. doi: 10.1016/j.jval.2023.09.051
2023
Journal Article
A narrative review of health status and healthcare delivery in the oil and gas industry: impacts on employees, employers, and local communities
Fox, Jordan L., Gurney, Tiana, Kondalsamy-Chennakesavan, Srinivas, Pols, Thomas A. H., Tuffaha, Haitham, Pak, Anton and McGrail, Matthew (2023). A narrative review of health status and healthcare delivery in the oil and gas industry: impacts on employees, employers, and local communities. Healthcare, 11 (21) 2888, 1-17. doi: 10.3390/healthcare11212888
2023
Journal Article
Global, regional, and national incidence of six major immune-mediated inflammatory diseases: findings from the global burden of disease study 2019
GBD 2019 IMID Collaborators, Moni, Mohammad Ali, Moniruzzaman, Md and Pak, Anton (2023). Global, regional, and national incidence of six major immune-mediated inflammatory diseases: findings from the global burden of disease study 2019. EClinicalMedicine, 64 102193, 102193. doi: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.102193
2023
Journal Article
Forecasting emergency department waiting time using a state space representation
Trinh, Kelly, Staib, Andrew and Pak, Anton (2023). Forecasting emergency department waiting time using a state space representation. Statistics in Medicine, 42 (24), 1-26. doi: 10.1002/sim.9870
2023
Journal Article
Who cares about the money: do health economic evaluation studies published in emergency medicine journals cut the mustard?
Mason, Suzanne, Wakai, Abel and Pak, Anton (2023). Who cares about the money: do health economic evaluation studies published in emergency medicine journals cut the mustard?. CJEM: Canadian journal of emergency medicine, 25 (8), 647-648. doi: 10.1007/s43678-023-00562-7
2023
Journal Article
Editorial: Environmental stressors, multi-hazards and their impact on health
Adegboye, Oyelola A., Alele, Faith O., Castellanos, Maru E., Pak, Anton and Emeto, Theophilus I. (2023). Editorial: Environmental stressors, multi-hazards and their impact on health. Frontiers in Public Health, 11 1231955, 1-4. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1231955
2023
Other Outputs
Evaluation of the pilot program of establishing GP-led Paediatric Minor Injury and Illness Clinic (P-MIIC) in the Queensland Children’s Hospital
Pak, Anton (2023). Evaluation of the pilot program of establishing GP-led Paediatric Minor Injury and Illness Clinic (P-MIIC) in the Queensland Children’s Hospital. Brisbane, QLD, Australia: The University of Queensland.
2023
Journal Article
A resurgence and re-emergence of diphtheria in Nigeria, 2023
Adegboye, Oyelola A., Alele, Faith O., Pak, Anton, Castellanos, Maria E., Abdullahi, Mohammed A. S., Okeke, Malachy I., Emeto, Theophilus I. and McBryde, Emma S. (2023). A resurgence and re-emergence of diphtheria in Nigeria, 2023. Therapeutic Advances in Infectious Disease, 10, 1-4. doi: 10.1177/20499361231161936
2023
Journal Article
Machine-learning approach for risk estimation and risk prediction of the effect of climate on bovine respiratory disease
Gwaka, Joseph K., Demafo, Marcy A., N’konzi, Joel-Pascal N., Pak, Anton, Olumoh, Jamiu, Elfaki, Faiz and Adegboye, Oyelola A. (2023). Machine-learning approach for risk estimation and risk prediction of the effect of climate on bovine respiratory disease. Mathematics, 11 (6) 1354, 1354. doi: 10.3390/math11061354
2022
Journal Article
Travel-Related Monkeypox Outbreaks in the Era of COVID-19 Pandemic: Are We Prepared?
Adegboye, Oyelola A., Eugenia Castellanos, Maria, Alele, Faith O., Pak, Anton, Ezechukwu, Henry C., Hou, Kay and Emeto, Theophilus I. (2022). Travel-Related Monkeypox Outbreaks in the Era of COVID-19 Pandemic: Are We Prepared?. Viruses, 14 (6) 1283, 1283. doi: 10.3390/v14061283
2022
Journal Article
The effect of neighbourhood and spatial crime rates on mental wellbeing
Pak, Anton and Gannon, Brenda (2022). The effect of neighbourhood and spatial crime rates on mental wellbeing. Empirical Economics, 64 (1), 1-36. doi: 10.1007/s00181-022-02256-y
2022
Book Chapter
Statistical approaches to infectious diseases modelling in developing countries: a case of COVID-19
Gayawan, Ezra, Adekunle, Adeshina I., Adegboye, Oyelola A. and Pak, Anton (2022). Statistical approaches to infectious diseases modelling in developing countries: a case of COVID-19. Promoting statistical practice and collaboration in developing countries. (pp. 557-581) edited by O. Olawale Awe, Kim Love and Eric A. Vance. New York, NY, United States: Chapman and Hall/CRC. doi: 10.1201/9781003261148-45
2021
Journal Article
Are we better-off? The benefits and costs of Australian COVID-19 lockdown
Pak, Anton, Adegboye, Oyelola A. and McBryde, Emma S. (2021). Are we better-off? The benefits and costs of Australian COVID-19 lockdown. Frontiers in Public Health, 9 798478, 798478. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.798478
2021
Journal Article
Hospitalisations related to lower respiratory tract infections in Northern Queensland
Pak, Anton, Adegboye, Oyelola A., Eisen, Damon P. and McBryde, Emma S. (2021). Hospitalisations related to lower respiratory tract infections in Northern Queensland. Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health, 45 (5), 430-436. doi: 10.1111/1753-6405.13104
2021
Journal Article
The importance of structural factors in COVID-19 response in Western Pacific
Pak, Anton and Adegboye, Oyelola A. (2021). The importance of structural factors in COVID-19 response in Western Pacific. Asia-Pacific Journal of Public Health, 33 (8), 101053952110359-978. doi: 10.1177/10105395211035932
2021
Journal Article
Hospitalisation for lower respiratory tract infection is associated with an increased incidence of acute myocardial infarction and stroke in tropical Northern Australia
Pak, A., Eisen, D. P., McBryde, E. S. and Adegboye, O. A. (2021). Hospitalisation for lower respiratory tract infection is associated with an increased incidence of acute myocardial infarction and stroke in tropical Northern Australia. Scientific Reports, 11 (1) 6826, 1-8. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-86301-3
2021
Journal Article
Change in outbreak epicentre and its impact on the importation risks of COVID-19 progression: a modelling study
Adegboye, Oyelola A., Adekunle, Adeshina, Pak, Anton, Gayawan, Ezra, Leung, Denis H. Y., Rojas, Diana P., Elfaki, Faiz, McBryde, Emma S. and Eisen, Damon P. (2021). Change in outbreak epicentre and its impact on the importation risks of COVID-19 progression: a modelling study. Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease, 40 101988, 101988. doi: 10.1016/j.tmaid.2021.101988
2021
Journal Article
Do access, quality and cost of general practice affect emergency department use?
Pak, Anton and Gannon, Brenda (2021). Do access, quality and cost of general practice affect emergency department use?. Health Policy, 125 (4), 504-511. doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2021.01.003
2021
Journal Article
Does high public trust amplify compliance with stringent COVID-19 government health guidelines? A multi-country analysis using data from 102,627 individuals
Pak, Anton, McBryde, Emma and Adegboye, Oyelola A. (2021). Does high public trust amplify compliance with stringent COVID-19 government health guidelines? A multi-country analysis using data from 102,627 individuals. Risk Management and Healthcare Policy, 14, 293-302. doi: 10.2147/rmhp.s278774
2021
Journal Article
Predicting waiting time to treatment for emergency department patients
Pak, Anton, Gannon, Brenda and Staib, Andrew (2021). Predicting waiting time to treatment for emergency department patients. International Journal of Medical Informatics, 145 104303, 1-8. doi: 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2020.104303
Funding
Past funding
Supervision
Availability
- Dr Anton Pak is:
- Available for supervision
Looking for a supervisor? Read our advice on how to choose a supervisor.
Supervision history
Current supervision
-
Doctor Philosophy
Conditional Marginal Structural Mean Model: a Doubly Robust Analysis on Panel Count Data with Interval-Censored Failure Events
Principal Advisor
Other advisors: Professor KK Tang, Dr Fu Ouyang
-
Doctor Philosophy
A generalised protocol and algorithm for defining and delimiting the health journey Unit of Analysis
Associate Advisor
Other advisors: Professor Jason Pole
-
Doctor Philosophy
Improving communication between patients and doctors: AI-powered medical history tools in emergency departments
Associate Advisor
Other advisors: Dr Sisira Edirippulige
Media
Enquiries
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